Musk Elon

#8 of the rankingPerson25 purchases analyzed

R-coefficient

0.822

skill with Bayesian shrinkage

60d win rate

100%

% of purchases with positive return

Avg 60d return

+12.4%

after their purchases

🧱 Conviction tranches

Repeated purchases of the same stock within ≤5 days — an accumulation pattern.

Ticker	Date	Trades	Span	Shares	Amount
TSLA	2025-09-12	1	1d	2.568.732	$1000.0M
TSLA	2020-02-14	1	1d	26.074	$20.0M
TSLA	2019-05-02	1	1d	205.760	$50.0M
TSLA	2018-10-29	1	1d	59.688	$20.0M
TSLA	2018-06-12 → 2018-06-13	2	2d	145.000	$49.8M
TSLA	2018-05-07	1	1d	66.000	$19.7M
TSLA	2017-03-17	1	1d	190.840	$50.0M
TSLA	2015-08-19	1	1d	165.290	$40.0M

Later sales by the same insider on the same ticker — realized gain vs average buy price. Empty = position still held.

Date	Ticker	Role	Shares	Avg price	Amount	Sales	Avg sell price	Gain %
2025-09-12	TSLA	Director, Officer(CEO), 10% Owner	2.568.732	$389.28	$1000.0M	0	—	—
2020-02-14	TSLA	Director, Officer(CEO), 10% Owner	26.074	$767.00	$20.0M	26.074	$1184.68	+54.5%
2019-05-02	TSLA	Director, Officer(CEO), 10% Owner	205.760	$243.00	$50.0M	205.760	$1184.06	+387.3%
2018-10-29	TSLA	Director, Officer(CEO), 10% Owner	59.688	$334.98	$20.0M	59.688	$1181.25	+252.6%
2018-06-13	TSLA	Director, Officer(CEO), 10% Owner	35.000	$345.63	$12.1M	35.000	$1178.50	+241.0%
2018-06-12	TSLA	Director, Officer(CEO), 10% Owner	110.000	$343.19	$37.8M	110.000	$1170.73	+241.1%
2018-05-07	TSLA	Director, Officer(CEO), 10% Owner	66.000	$298.50	$19.7M	66.000	$1165.85	+290.6%
2017-03-17	TSLA	Director, Officer(CEO), 10% Owner	190.840	$262.00	$50.0M	190.840	$1176.72	+349.1%
2015-08-19	TSLA	Director, Officer(CEO), 10% Owner	165.290	$242.00	$40.0M	165.290	$213.22	-11.9%
2013-05-30	TSLA	Director, Officer(CEO), 10% Owner	2.168.258	$92.24	$200.0M	2.168.258	$213.22	+131.2%
2012-10-03	TSLA	Director, Officer(CEO), 10% Owner	70.796	$28.25	$2.0M	70.796	$213.22	+654.8%
2011-06-08	TSLA	Director, Officer(Chief Executive Officer), 10% Owner	2.832.000	$28.76	$81.4M	2.832.000	$213.22	+641.4%